Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.383300 0.454427 0.533841 0.628900 0.739409 0.863636 1.013676
2024-12-29 0.282124 0.375038 0.489882 0.641501 0.835554 1.074651 1.390528
2025-01-05 0.225711 0.326899 0.461776 0.653096 0.915576 1.260836 1.746721
2025-01-12 0.182670 0.284507 0.429160 0.646995 0.963474 1.402578 2.052942
2025-01-19 0.152401 0.253142 0.404470 0.644567 1.011094 1.543435 2.366942
2025-01-26 0.135539 0.238308 0.400458 0.669703 1.098718 1.746772 2.787194
2025-02-02 0.131244 0.242385 0.425320 0.741124 1.262961 2.077781 3.427322
2025-02-09 0.119207 0.231165 0.423305 0.767911 1.357911 2.309260 3.933040
2025-02-16 0.103224 0.210204 0.401614 0.758161 1.390335 2.442319 4.291340
2025-02-23 0.087481 0.187000 0.372536 0.731228 1.389276 2.518311 4.559812
2025-03-02 0.073492 0.164805 0.342063 0.697424 1.371329 2.562235 4.775140
2025-03-09 0.068731 0.160485 0.344751 0.725539 1.467831 2.812043 5.366584
2025-03-16 0.058456 0.143210 0.320399 0.699881 1.463887 2.887415 5.664238
2025-03-23 0.053406 0.136594 0.316853 0.715341 1.540784 3.117759 6.264969
2025-03-30 0.048748 0.130040 0.312448 0.728263 1.613578 3.346074 6.880054
2025-04-06 0.043178 0.120293 0.299644 0.721522 1.645180 3.497237 7.359339
2025-04-13 0.038614 0.112200 0.289363 0.718837 1.684541 3.666255 7.886041
2025-04-20 0.036479 0.110004 0.292478 0.746636 1.791845 3.980220 8.725095
2025-04-27 0.037410 0.116198 0.316512 0.825582 2.018835 4.556950 10.138759
2025-05-04 0.035444 0.114034 0.319639 0.855177 2.137816 4.917052 11.131390
2025-05-11 0.031666 0.105997 0.306798 0.844406 2.163259 5.080265 11.723445
2025-05-18 0.027499 0.095984 0.287342 0.814647 2.140996 5.137870 12.093967
2025-05-25 0.023561 0.085854 0.266025 0.777285 2.096308 5.141574 12.346630